Thursday, December 29, 2011

So the PS Vita has Flopped [updated]

With 500k shipped and Sony able of only moving about 72k during its second week, it is the beginning of the end for portable gaming.

The next 3 months will decide the fate of the PS Vita.

[update]
Sales dropped further for the 3rd week, about 43k were sold. A price drop seems imminent.

[update]
What's the antonym of Vita in Latin?

1st week: 324,859
2nd week: 72,479
3rd week: 42,648
4th week: 42,915
5th week: 18,361
6th week: 17,141
7th week: 13,939

Tuesday, December 27, 2011

Why Did Google Develop Android?


Google claims that it did so to promote an open web and as long no single platform dominates, whether Android comes at top or not it doesn't matter to them. They lied and here's why:

Let's assume Google doesn't want to monetize Android. Amazon and Baidu do worry them. Here's why: 1) No Android Marketplace 2) No Google Apps 3) In case of Baidu no Google search. Amazon and Baidu are riding on Android and then 'forking' it to undercut Google.

Let's assume Google doesn't care about dominating and only cares about people using its search engine. Explain why Google brags about activation numbers? If they make more money out of iOS (or even equal amount) why are they aggressively pushing Android and giving it away for free such that no one can develop a business case in creating a competing OS (Amazon and Baidu found a way around that). Android is to Google what Bing or XBox are to Microsoft. Remember how Microsoft got its Windows and Office monopoly? There is a longterm plan and Google wants to control everything, what better way to sell you ads than controlling the OS you use to access the web on a device that has all your personal info linked to Google services. Why no company is actively developing a desktop OS to compete with Microsoft except for Apple (Linux and others have less than 3%)? Microsoft thru back-room deals with OEMs made it cost prohibitive, and this is Google's game with Android.

One final thing to consider is Google's purchase of Motorola Mobility. If this doesn't have desire to dominate written all over it, I don't know what does.

Monday, December 26, 2011

The Pathetic State of Android Tablets

We know that all Android tablets combined command 33% of the market, nothing to sneeze at, right? Wrong! This 33% is mostly made up of the Amazon Kindle Fire, the Barnes & Noble Nook Color and a variety of $100 and $200 tablets, most will never run Android 4.0 and in the case of the Fire and Nook are forks of Android that Google earns nothing from. Few vendors barely crossed the 1Million units mark, most of them didn't. Usually, I use Amazon.com hourly sales to gauge the success of a product in the market only because Amazon.com is one of the few (only?) sellers that provide such a detailed breakdown of sales. With tablets however you really can't clearly gauge the market since Amazon.com doesn't sell the iPad nor the Nook. With that in mind and knowing that the iPad command about 60% of the market, we examine Amazon.com's hourly sales.

First, we look at the tablet best sellers. The Kindle Fire is an obvious leader followed by the Coby Kyros and ASUS Transformer Prime. I've been following the hourly sales for a while, the latter two exchanged places back and forth but Kindle Fire remained supreme since hitting Amazon.com's virtual shelves. You might think ASUS is doing great, it is 2nd or 3rd after the Kindle Fire, but you'd be wrong!

Next, we examine the parent category, the best sellers in computers and accessories. Kindle Fire remains the best seller here, the Coby Kyros is at number 10 and the ASUS Transformer Prime is at number 12. The Apple TV at number 3 outsells both by a huge margin. Yes, Apple's hobby, the Apple TV outsells the best selling Android tablets. It gets worse.

The Kindle Fire remains the best seller in all electronics that Amazon.com sells. The Apple TV is at number 9. Where do the leading Android tablets fall on the top 100 electronics? They don't! The Apple Airport Extreme at 71 sells more than any Android tablet does on Amazon.com.

ASUS, Motorola and Samsung, to name a few. Mistakenly assumed that there was a tablet craze, like a smartphone craze but the truth is, people want the iPad. People are choosing the iPad, not over other tablets, but over netbooks. Tablets existed for 10 years and no one cared about them until the iPad. This is not a new market that Apple has created but a hit that people want. They assumed they could just copy the iPad, as they did with the iPhone and people will flock towards them, which obviously didn't happen in 2011. Samsung, the biggest of the Android cartels in 2011 -partly due to selling 5 different Android tablets- is at 5.6% and this won't be getting better. In fact, by the hourly sales on Amazon.com they seem to be falling further behind, as ASUS seems to be positioning itself as the sales leader among high-end Android tablets.

In 2012 it will only get worse for ASUS, Motorola and Samsung, among others. The tablet market, unlike the smartphone market, seems to have clearly divided itself between those who want an iPad and those who don't and the majority of those who don't are opting for no-name cheap $100 Android tablets and now with the advent of the Kindle Fire and Nook, it seems those two, carrying brand recognition will become the default Android tablets that happen to not run Google-sanctioned Android. The Kindle Fire and Nook are the unexpected Android-killers.

Friday, November 18, 2011

Google 201x =? Microsoft 199x

Long long ago in a galaxy far far away... It was a different time then. It was thought to be the up and coming underdog. It was the proponent of open systems and no one thought of it as evil, yet. That was Microsoft. At that time, Microsoft was a much smaller player compared to the much larger Apple Computer. Funny how history repeats itself.

Microsoft had one trick that it played over and over. Licensing its software to hardware makers, not selling directly to consumers. Shrink-wrapped Windows sales are excessively low for an OS that dominates +90% of the market. The majority of Windows users get it pre-bundled with their hardware, very few consciously choose Windows. In many ways, Windows chooses the user and not the other way around.

Just like Microsoft, Google is a one-trick pony. Microsoft has Windows and Office. Google has its ad business and search. Both use their monopoly in one market to dominate another. Just like Microsoft, Google exists to stifle innovation. If it were any other company, Android would have bankrupted it, just as the XBox or Zune or Bing would have bankrupted Microsoft. Google is using its ad revenue to undercut other companies and kill them, the same way Microsoft uses its Windows and Office money to subsidize its failures just to get into a market, undercut them by offering a lesser quality product for near-free and crush their competitor and create yet another monopoly. That's exactly what Google is doing with Android. Google earns nothing from Android, they give it away to destroy others. The OEMs won't develop their own OS since they can get Android for free and those who dare to go against Google's will and develop their own will find themselves locked out of the market, unable to compete. By offering their lesser quality OS for near-free, they will kill all the good quality OSes that exist or might emerge. This was Google's goal.

Unfortunately for Google this isn't working as good as they hoped. Microsoft is collecting royalties on Android, rendering Android costly for hardware vendors. Also companies like Baidu and Amazon are using Android to compete against Google and cutting Google off of any profits that they might make. Android might stifle innovation as Google intended but it will also compete against itself, leaving Google with an expensive endeavor that can never be truly monetized and if we are lucky Google will slowly distance itself away from it.

Wednesday, November 9, 2011

Put a Fork in it


Flurry: Is it Game Over for Nintendo DS and Sony PSP?

Flash on Mobile is Dead

To all the Adobe shills and the Android retards where is your Flash now?


Steve Jobs famously opposed allowing Flash on iOS and wrote Thoughts on Flash to explain the position taken by Apple, which any sane person that desires an open web would share. It was only a matter of time before Flash dies but at one moment when scumbag Google endorse Flash in an unethical matter typical of a drug pusher, it seemed as if Flash would be forced upon the web for many years to come. Now however it is officially dead on mobile devices.


I applaud Microsoft for helping to kill Flash. Flash was dying but Microsoft's decision not to allow it on WP7 and W8MUI pretty much delivered the final blow.
Microsoft could have been a bunch of scumbags like Google and tried to push Flash but for once they did the honorable thing and copied Apple's position.

Thank you Microsoft.

Sunday, August 28, 2011

Android is a Threat for The Future of Mobile OSes

Android made software irrelevant. Google is giving away for free what costs millions to develop, effectively destroying the software market. Just look at the Android marketplace, thousands of ad-supported apps. Software has no value and thus no one is willing to pay for it. Very depressing for who wants to work in the software industry. No one talks about the quality of software anymore, which misses the point. Hardware is nothing without software, and Google is effectively destroying that. I won't assume malice. I won't accuse Google of intentionally trying to destroy the software industry and remove all value from software and forcing the smartphone market into a downward spiral. Google is oblivious to what they are doing. They are high on themselves. Simply, they are a bunch of morons.


Android succeeded in killing interest in mobile OS development, just as Windows did with desktop OS in the 1990s. So, in other words, the long term effect of Android's success will be sending the mobile OS world to another dark age, killing innovation and discouraging new competitors from entering the mobile OS market. Just this year, due to Android, we saw the demise of Symbian and MeeGo and even though HP won't admit it, webOS seems to be the next victim. What Android succeeded in doing is allowing lazy and non-innovative companies to enter the market and kill competition with their cheap handsets. Hardware is cheap, that is why it is always on sale, but developing an outstanding OS that takes effort. What we are witnessing right now is a repeat of the late 80s and early 90s. Major OS names fading into oblivion.

Sunday, August 14, 2011

XP in the age of 8?

Next year Microsoft will be releasing Windows 8, which despite the name isn't the 8th release of Windows. Windows 8 is a great leap forward and the first true remigration of Windows since Windows NT3.1, the first release of Windows NT. Windows NT3.1 was the first release of Windows to run on Alpha and MIPS as well as x86. But one thing could still hold back Microsoft's ambitions and that's Windows XP.

Four years after Vista, two years after Windows 7 and still, Windows XP the 10 year-old Windows is used by the majority (~40%) of Windows users, more than any other OS version. This was never the case before, when XP was released a very few were using Windows 3.x or older. In the 90s Microsoft was pushing a new release every 2 years or so, and this way they got people to update often, similar to what Apple does with Mac OS X today. A rapid release cycle where running a 5 year-old release means you are 2 releases behind.

So the domination of XP is Microsoft's fault. Microsoft's inability to get the next release of Windows on time in 2004, pushing it back by 3 years to 2007, resulted not only in a huge install base of XP that can be expensive to upgrade, but also in the lack of willingness to upgrade. Microsoft also botched the launch of Vista with a confusing upgrade policy. Whether Vista was good or not isn't the point, what matters here is Microsoft failed to migrate users to the new OS and Windows 7 while better received still is at about 30% usage share.

For how much longer will we be stuck by an OS designed in the late 90s? How much innovation was wasted because a lot feel they need to tend for the about 40% who still use outdated technology? Windows XP is the Internet Explorer 6 of OSes.

Saturday, April 16, 2011

PSP near death, DS threatened


Quote:
Originally Posted by Arstechnica
Flurry says that 40 percent of all consumer app sessions on iOS and Android were spent on games throughout 2010. As a result, the two platforms generated $800 million in game revenues—an increase from $500 million in 2009. It's important to note, however, that Flurry only tracked iOS game sales in 2009—the iPad and other tablets didn't exist during that time, nor did much of the Android gaming market. Still, even with Android in the mix, the company said that the "significant" majority of the combined gaming revenues were generated by iPhone games, so it's possible that Android and tablets are still only beginning to contribute to that slice of the pie. (Flurry also does not count PC games in its numbers—only console, portables, and iOS/Android.)


Things to note:
  1. Compared to 2008 - 2009, the biggest loser this time was the DS, the reasons are many but chief among them is the nearing launch of the 3DS.
  2. The PSP only lost 2 percent, the remaining 9% is the PSP defense force and the PSP will probably stay at 9% until the launch of NGP.

Thursday, March 3, 2011

Wednesday, March 2, 2011

The Disappointment of the MacBook Pro Update

All the way back in late 2010, the MacBook Air was launched as the next generation of MacBooks, fast forward to last month, and there is nothing MacBook Air-inspired in the updated MacBook Pro lineup. Where is the instant on, long lasting battery, and MacBook Air-like standard SSD storage? Maybe next year.

Wednesday, February 9, 2011

Sony is Evil

app-priv-rev1: 00 3d e8 01 67 d2 f0 e9 d3 0f 21 45 14 4a 55 8d 11 74 f5 41 0c

erk: C0 CE FE 84 C2 27 F7 5B D0 7A 7E B8 46 50 9F 93 B2 38 E7 70 DA CB 9F F4 A3 88 F8 12 48 2B E2 1B
riv: 47 EE 74 54 E4 77 4C C9 B8 96 0C 7B 59 F4 C1 4D
pub: C2 D4 AA F3 19 35 50 19 AF 99 D4 4E 2B 58 CA 29 25 2C 89 12 3D 11 D6 21 8F 40 B1 38 CA B2 9B 71 01 F3 AE B7 2A 97 50 19

R: 80 6E 07 8F A1 52 97 90 CE 1A AE 02 BA DD 6F AA A6 AF 74 17
n: E1 3A 7E BC 3A CC EB 1C B5 6C C8 60 FC AB DB 6A 04 8C 55 E1
K: BA 90 55 91 68 61 B9 77 ED CB ED 92 00 50 92 F6 6C 7A 3D 8D
Da: C5 B2 BF A1 A4 13 DD 16 F2 6D 31 C0 F2 ED 47 20 DC FB 06 70